Predicted scoreLikely
USC
40.6
Colorado
24.1
Colorado win probability: 16%
Margin (Colorado − USC): -16.5 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 64.7 (80% range 40 to 92)
Actual: USC 48 – Colorado 41 (margin error 9.5, total error 24.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 35 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:03 PM | -16.5 | 64.7 | 16% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:31 PM | -16.5 | 64.7 | 16% |