2023 Week 2 · Sep 10, 2023, 2:30 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Stanford @ USC

Predicted scoreLikely

Stanford

21.5

USC

37.7

USC win probability: 84%

Margin (USC − Stanford): 16.2 (80% range -4 to 38)

Total: 59.1 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Stanford 10 – USC 56 (margin error 29.8, total error 6.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.