USC
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ LSU | 20–27 | 34.6–29.7 | 12.0 |
| Week 2 | vs Utah State | 0–48 | 15.7–38.8 | 24.9 |
| Week 4 | @ Michigan | 27–24 | 29.6–19.7 | 6.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Wisconsin | 21–38 | 18.0–34.2 | 0.8 |
| Week 6 | @ Minnesota | 24–17 | 23.1–26.8 | 10.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Penn State | 33–30 | 26.7–26.2 | 2.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Maryland | 29–28 | 26.0–28.7 | 3.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Rutgers | 20–42 | 21.7–33.9 | 9.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Washington | 26–21 | 25.3–27.7 | 7.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Nebraska | 20–28 | 19.9–28.8 | 0.9 |
| Week 13 | @ UCLA | 13–19 | 23.6–30.0 | 0.4 |
| Week 14 | vs Notre Dame | 49–35 | 27.2–22.7 | 9.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Texas A&M | 31–35 | 30.0–29.0 | 5.0 |