2024 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2024, 11:30 PM · Allegiant Stadium (neutral site)

USC @ LSU

Predicted scoreLean

USC

29.7

LSU

34.6

LSU win probability: 62%

Margin (LSU − USC): 5.0 (80% range -17 to 26)

Total: 64.3 (80% range 38 to 91)

Actual: USC 27 – LSU 20 (margin error 12.0, total error 17.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.