Predicted scoreLean
USC
30.0
UCLA
23.6
UCLA win probability: 34%
Margin (UCLA − USC): -6.4 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: USC 19 – UCLA 13 (margin error 0.4, total error 21.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.