2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 7:30 PM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Penn State @ USC

Predicted scoreToss-up

Penn State

26.7

USC

26.2

USC win probability: 49%

Margin (USC − Penn State): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Penn State 33 – USC 30 (margin error 2.5, total error 10.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.