Penn State
Big Ten
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Marshall | 15.4–41.1 | 95% |
| Week 2 | @ Temple | 16.7–39.2 | 92% |
| Week 3 | vs Buffalo | 11.6–42.2 | 97% |
| Week 4 | vs Wisconsin | 18.8–32.3 | 81% |
| Week 5 | @ Northwestern | 23.6–29.5 | 65% |
| Week 6 | vs USC | 27.8–31.7 | 59% |
| Week 7 | @ Michigan | 26.2–26.0 | 50% |
| Week 9 | vs Purdue | 19.1–38.2 | 88% |
| Week 10 | @ Washington | 27.5–25.6 | 45% |
| Week 11 | vs Minnesota | 18.3–33.3 | 83% |
| Week 12 | vs Rutgers | 23.4–39.1 | 83% |
| Week 13 | @ Maryland | 21.9–32.1 | 73% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.