Penn State
Big Ten
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Kent State | 13–33 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Pittsburgh | 42–39 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Temple | 27–34 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Michigan | 49–10 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Minnesota | 26–29 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Maryland | 14–38 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Ohio State | 21–24 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Purdue | 24–62 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Iowa | 14–41 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Indiana | 31–45 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Rutgers | 0–39 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Michigan State | 12–45 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Wisconsin | 31–38 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs USC | 52–49 | — | — |