Penn State
Big Ten
2018 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2018
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs App State | 38–45 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Pittsburgh | 6–51 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Kent State | 10–63 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Illinois | 24–63 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Ohio State | 27–26 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Michigan State | 21–17 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Indiana | 28–33 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Iowa | 24–30 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Michigan | 42–7 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Wisconsin | 10–22 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Rutgers | 7–20 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Maryland | 3–38 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Kentucky | 27–24 | — | — |