Penn State
Big Ten
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Wisconsin | 10–16 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Ball State | 13–44 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Auburn | 20–28 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Indiana | 0–24 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Iowa | 23–20 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Illinois | 20–18 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Ohio State | 33–24 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Maryland | 14–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Michigan | 21–17 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Rutgers | 0–28 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Michigan State | 30–27 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Arkansas | 24–10 | — | — |