Penn State
Big Ten
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Purdue | 31–35 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Ohio | 10–46 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Auburn | 12–41 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Central Michigan | 14–33 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Northwestern | 7–17 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Michigan | 41–17 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Minnesota | 17–45 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Ohio State | 44–31 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Indiana | 14–45 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Maryland | 0–30 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Rutgers | 10–55 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Michigan State | 16–35 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Utah | 21–35 | — | — |