Penn State
Big Ten
2014 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2014
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ UCF | 24–26 | — | — |
| Week 2 | vs Akron | 3–21 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Rutgers | 10–13 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Massachusetts | 7–48 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Northwestern | 29–6 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Michigan | 18–13 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Ohio State | 31–24 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Maryland | 20–19 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Indiana | 7–13 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Temple | 13–30 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Illinois | 16–14 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Michigan State | 34–10 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Boston College | 30–31 | — | — |