2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field
Penn State @ Temple
Predicted scoreConfident
Penn State
39.2
Temple
16.7
Temple win probability: 8%
Margin (Temple − Penn State): -22.5 (80% range -43 to -3)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 34 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:27 PM | -22.6 | 55.5 | 8% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:23 PM | -22.2 | 54.8 | 8% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:25 PM | -22.5 | 55.8 | 8% |