2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Beaver Stadium
Purdue @ Penn State
Predicted scoreConfident
Purdue
19.1
Penn State
38.2
Penn State win probability: 88%
Margin (Penn State − Purdue): 19.1 (80% range -1 to 41)
Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 35 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:04 PM | 19.2 | 57.3 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:04 PM | 19.2 | 57.3 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:10 PM | 19.1 | 57.3 | 88% |