2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Husky Stadium
Penn State @ Washington
Predicted scoreToss-up
Penn State
25.6
Washington
27.5
Washington win probability: 55%
Margin (Washington − Penn State): 1.9 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:24 PM | 1.9 | 53.2 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:19 PM | 1.9 | 53.1 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:13 PM | 1.9 | 53.1 | 55% |