2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 11:30 PM · Husky Stadium
USC @ Washington
Predicted scoreToss-up
USC
27.7
Washington
25.3
Washington win probability: 44%
Margin (Washington − USC): -2.4 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: USC 21 – Washington 26 (margin error 7.4, total error 6.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.