2024 Postseason · Dec 28, 2024, 3:30 AM · Allegiant Stadium (neutral site)

Texas A&M @ USC

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas A&M

30.0

USC

29.0

USC win probability: 48%

Margin (USC − Texas A&M): -1.0 (80% range -22 to 21)

Total: 59.0 (80% range 34 to 85)

Actual: Texas A&M 31 – USC 35 (margin error 5.0, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.