2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 9:00 PM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Nebraska @ USC

Predicted scoreLikely

Nebraska

19.9

USC

28.8

USC win probability: 72%

Margin (USC − Nebraska): 8.9 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 48.7 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Nebraska 20 – USC 28 (margin error 0.9, total error 0.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.