Predicted scoreToss-up
USC
28.7
Maryland
26.0
Maryland win probability: 44%
Margin (Maryland − USC): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: USC 28 – Maryland 29 (margin error 3.7, total error 2.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.