2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 3:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Rutgers @ USC

Predicted scoreLikely

Rutgers

21.7

USC

33.9

USC win probability: 78%

Margin (USC − Rutgers): 12.1 (80% range -8 to 32)

Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Rutgers 20 – USC 42 (margin error 9.9, total error 6.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.