2024 Week 2 · Sep 8, 2024, 3:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Utah State @ USC

Predicted scoreConfident

Utah State

15.7

USC

38.8

USC win probability: 93%

Margin (USC − Utah State): 23.1 (80% range 3 to 44)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Utah State 0 – USC 48 (margin error 24.9, total error 6.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.