2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Notre Dame @ USC

Predicted scoreLean

Notre Dame

27.2

USC

22.7

USC win probability: 39%

Margin (USC − Notre Dame): -4.5 (80% range -24 to 15)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Notre Dame 49 – USC 35 (margin error 9.5, total error 34.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.