Predicted scoreConfident
USC
37.9
Purdue
20.0
Purdue win probability: 13%
Margin (Purdue − USC): -17.8 (80% range -39 to 3)
Total: 57.9 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: USC 33 – Purdue 17 (margin error 1.8, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.