2025 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2025, 12:30 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

UCLA @ USC

Predicted scoreLikely

UCLA

21.2

USC

37.2

USC win probability: 84%

Margin (USC − UCLA): 16.0 (80% range -4 to 37)

Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: UCLA 10 – USC 29 (margin error 3.0, total error 19.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.