2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Ohio State @ USC
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
30.3
USC
25.7
USC win probability: 38%
Margin (USC − Ohio State): -4.6 (80% range -25 to 16)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 81)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:08 PM | -4.6 | 56.1 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:03 PM | -4.7 | 56.0 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:29 PM | -4.6 | 56.0 | 38% |