Predicted scoreLikely
USC
35.7
Rutgers
23.8
Rutgers win probability: 23%
Margin (Rutgers − USC): -11.9 (80% range -32 to 9)
Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:39 PM | -12.2 | 59.4 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:41 PM | -12.2 | 59.4 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:07 PM | -11.9 | 59.4 | 23% |