Predicted scoreToss-up
USC
26.7
Wisconsin
26.8
Wisconsin win probability: 50%
Margin (Wisconsin − USC): 0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 30 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:55 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:51 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:35 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:07 AM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:13 PM | -6.6 | 50.7 | 34% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:49 PM | -7.0 | 50.5 | 33% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:49 PM | -9.5 | 53.4 | 27% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:46 PM | -6.9 | 53.4 | 33% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:22 PM | -6.9 | 53.4 | 33% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:45 AM | -7.0 | 53.3 | 33% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:54 PM | -7.0 | 53.3 | 33% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:01 PM | 0.5 | 53.8 | 51% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:52 PM | 1.7 | 53.2 | 54% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:18 PM | 2.5 | 53.0 | 56% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:01 PM | 0.0 | 53.5 | 50% |