Predicted scoreLean
USC
28.7
Wisconsin
22.0
Wisconsin win probability: 33%
Margin (Wisconsin − USC): -6.7 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:55 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:51 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:35 PM | -6.7 | 50.8 | 33% |