Wisconsin

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs USC	26.7–26.8	50%
Week 9	@ Iowa	26.9–18.1	28%
Week 10	vs Rutgers	19.5–33.6	81%
Week 11	@ Maryland	19.3–28.1	71%
Week 12	@ Purdue	24.8–29.3	61%
Week 13	vs Minnesota	16.7–25.8	73%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Notre Dame	41–13	32.3–14.5	10.2
Week 2	vs Western Illinois	9–36	—	—
Week 3	vs Eastern Michigan	10–54	13.5–35.1	22.4
Week 4	@ Penn State	20–24	32.0–17.9	18.1
Week 5	vs Michigan State	3–31	21.2–27.5	21.6
Week 7	@ UCLA	17–7	27.2–20.4	3.2