2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:30 PM · Camp Randall Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin
Predicted scoreConfident
Eastern Michigan
16.8
Wisconsin
34.6
Wisconsin win probability: 87%
Margin (Wisconsin − Eastern Michigan): 17.8 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 30 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:44 PM | 17.6 | 51.3 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:38 PM | 17.4 | 51.3 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:04 PM | 17.8 | 51.4 | 87% |