Predicted scoreToss-up
Minnesota
20.3
Wisconsin
23.5
Wisconsin win probability: 58%
Margin (Wisconsin − Minnesota): 3.2 (80% range -16 to 22)
Total: 43.8 (80% range 24 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:13 PM | 3.2 | 43.8 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:01 PM | 3.2 | 43.8 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:09 PM | 3.2 | 43.8 | 58% |