Minnesota

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Iowa	26.4–16.1	24%
Week 9	@ Indiana	37.0–12.3	5%
Week 10	vs UCLA	25.8–18.3	31%
Week 11	@ Penn State	30.3–15.7	17%
Week 12	vs Northwestern	30.1–18.7	23%
Week 13	@ Wisconsin	25.8–16.7	27%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Eastern Illinois	7–59	—	—
Week 2	vs Mississippi State	38–13	26.8–24.4	22.6
Week 3	vs Akron	7–41	15.2–33.5	15.7
Week 4	@ Washington	24–27	31.4–17.2	17.2
Week 5	vs Michigan	14–20	28.4–19.8	14.6
Week 6	@ Purdue	41–13	26.4–26.3	28.0