Predicted scoreLikely
Iowa
25.7
Minnesota
17.2
Minnesota win probability: 28%
Margin (Minnesota − Iowa): -8.5 (80% range -28 to 10)
Total: 42.9 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.98% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 10 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:48 PM | -8.5 | 42.9 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:51 PM | -8.5 | 42.9 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:31 PM | -8.5 | 42.9 | 28% |