Iowa

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Minnesota	16.1–26.4	76%
Week 9	vs Wisconsin	18.1–26.9	72%
Week 10	@ Northwestern	27.2–24.7	44%
Week 11	vs Purdue	20.1–34.7	82%
Week 12	@ Illinois	24.2–30.1	64%
Week 13	vs Nebraska	22.5–24.9	56%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Northern Illinois	0–40	11.0–37.8	13.2
Week 2	vs Iowa State	13–16	18.5–28.2	6.7
Week 3	vs Northern Iowa	0–55	—	—
Week 4	@ Michigan	19–20	23.4–22.4	1.9
Week 5	vs Ohio State	31–14	25.4–20.5	12.1
Week 6	@ Washington	24–41	19.9–21.7	15.2