Predicted scoreLikely
Nebraska
18.5
Iowa
27.2
Iowa win probability: 72%
Margin (Iowa − Nebraska): 8.7 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:03 PM | 8.7 | 45.5 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:00 PM | 8.7 | 45.6 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:04 PM | 8.7 | 45.6 | 72% |