Iowa
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Utah State | 14–24 | 14.1–35.1 | 11.0 |
| Week 2 | @ Iowa State | 13–20 | 22.4–19.7 | 9.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Western Michigan | 10–41 | 16.5–32.8 | 14.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Penn State | 31–0 | 31.4–16.5 | 16.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Michigan State | 16–26 | 22.4–19.6 | 12.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Purdue | 14–20 | 22.6–23.7 | 5.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Wisconsin | 6–15 | 24.1–15.8 | 17.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Minnesota | 12–10 | 19.3–23.7 | 6.4 |
| Week 10 | @ Northwestern | 7–10 | 20.3–22.6 | 0.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Rutgers | 0–22 | 20.2–18.9 | 23.3 |
| Week 12 | vs Illinois | 13–15 | 19.6–22.0 | 0.3 |
| Week 13 | @ Nebraska | 10–13 | 19.6–20.1 | 2.6 |
| Week 14 | vs Michigan | 26–0 | 32.0–10.0 | 4.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Tennessee | 35–0 | 31.3–20.0 | 23.7 |