Predicted scoreToss-up
Rutgers
20.2
Iowa
18.9
Iowa win probability: 46%
Margin (Iowa − Rutgers): -1.3 (80% range -20 to 17)
Total: 39.1 (80% range 20 to 60)
Actual: Rutgers 0 – Iowa 22 (margin error 23.3, total error 17.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 1.00% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.89% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.