2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Iowa @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa
19.7
Iowa State
22.4
Iowa State win probability: 57%
Margin (Iowa State − Iowa): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 21)
Total: 42.1 (80% range 22 to 64)
Actual: Iowa 20 – Iowa State 13 (margin error 9.7, total error 9.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.92% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.