Iowa State

Big 12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Arizona	30.5–22.7	31%
Week 9	vs Oklahoma State	24.8–31.1	65%
Week 10	@ Baylor	27.9–25.3	43%
Week 11	vs Cincinnati	25.7–31.0	63%
Week 12	@ UCF	24.4–26.6	55%
Week 13	vs Kansas State	25.6–27.3	54%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Southeast Missouri State	10–38	—	—
Week 2	@ Iowa	16–13	28.2–18.5	6.7
Week 3	vs Bowling Green	7–55	11.7–40.2	19.5
Week 4	vs Utah	31–17	29.4–22.1	6.7
Week 5	vs West Virginia	42–45	21.0–36.8	12.8
Week 6	@ BYU	24–10	28.8–23.5	8.7