Iowa State
Big 12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Iowa | 20–13 | 19.7–22.4 | 9.7 |
| Week 3 | @ Ohio | 10–7 | 19.2–28.1 | 11.9 |
| Week 4 | vs Oklahoma State | 27–34 | 26.9–25.4 | 8.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Oklahoma | 50–20 | 32.2–19.8 | 17.6 |
| Week 6 | vs TCU | 14–27 | 29.4–25.4 | 17.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Cincinnati | 10–30 | 26.0–24.2 | 21.7 |
| Week 9 | @ Baylor | 18–30 | 24.9–27.4 | 9.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Kansas | 28–21 | 28.4–28.4 | 7.0 |
| Week 11 | @ BYU | 13–45 | 22.1–24.9 | 29.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Texas | 26–16 | 29.6–22.4 | 2.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Kansas State | 35–42 | 30.3–18.6 | 18.7 |
| Week 1 | vs Memphis | 36–26 | 21.0–29.8 | 18.7 |