2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 4:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Iowa State @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa State
24.2
Cincinnati
26.0
Cincinnati win probability: 55%
Margin (Cincinnati − Iowa State): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 27 to 75)
Actual: Iowa State 30 – Cincinnati 10 (margin error 21.7, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.