2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 11:00 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Kansas @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas
28.4
Iowa State
28.4
Iowa State win probability: 50%
Margin (Iowa State − Kansas): -0.0 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Kansas 28 – Iowa State 21 (margin error 7.0, total error 7.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.