Iowa State
Big 12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Kansas State | 21–24 | 26.6–26.5 | 3.1 |
| Week 2 | vs Iowa | 13–16 | 23.3–26.0 | 0.3 |
| Week 3 | @ Arkansas State | 16–24 | 17.9–40.8 | 14.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Arizona | 14–39 | 24.0–29.0 | 20.0 |
| Week 6 | @ Cincinnati | 38–30 | 25.0–31.7 | 14.6 |
| Week 7 | @ Colorado | 24–17 | 28.0–26.7 | 5.7 |
| Week 9 | vs BYU | 41–27 | 24.8–26.3 | 15.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Arizona State | 24–19 | 24.9–29.7 | 9.8 |
| Week 11 | @ TCU | 17–20 | 30.5–25.8 | 7.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Kansas | 14–38 | 28.5–31.4 | 21.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Oklahoma State | 13–20 | 20.1–35.1 | 8.0 |