2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
BYU @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
24.8
Iowa State
26.3
Iowa State win probability: 54%
Margin (Iowa State − BYU): 1.5 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: BYU 41 – Iowa State 27 (margin error 15.5, total error 17.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.