2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 5:00 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Kansas @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas
28.5
Iowa State
31.4
Iowa State win probability: 57%
Margin (Iowa State − Kansas): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 59.9 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Kansas 14 – Iowa State 38 (margin error 21.2, total error 7.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.