2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:00 PM · Jack Trice Stadium
Iowa @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa
23.3
Iowa State
26.0
Iowa State win probability: 57%
Margin (Iowa State − Iowa): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 22)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Iowa 13 – Iowa State 16 (margin error 0.3, total error 20.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.