2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 5:00 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State
Predicted scoreLikely
Iowa State
35.1
Oklahoma State
20.1
Oklahoma State win probability: 18%
Margin (Oklahoma State − Iowa State): -15.0 (80% range -35 to 6)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Iowa State 20 – Oklahoma State 13 (margin error 8.0, total error 22.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.