2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 5:00 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Iowa State @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreLikely

Iowa State

35.1

Oklahoma State

20.1

Oklahoma State win probability: 18%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Iowa State): -15.0 (80% range -35 to 6)

Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Iowa State 20 – Oklahoma State 13 (margin error 8.0, total error 22.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.