2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 7:30 PM · Folsom Field
Iowa State @ Colorado
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa State
26.7
Colorado
28.0
Colorado win probability: 53%
Margin (Colorado − Iowa State): 1.3 (80% range -19 to 21)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Iowa State 17 – Colorado 24 (margin error 5.7, total error 13.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.