2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 1:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Iowa State @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLikely

Iowa State

18.6

Kansas State

30.3

Kansas State win probability: 77%

Margin (Kansas State − Iowa State): 11.7 (80% range -7 to 31)

Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Iowa State 42 – Kansas State 35 (margin error 18.7, total error 28.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.