2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 2:15 AM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Iowa State @ BYU
Predicted scoreLean
Iowa State
21.7
BYU
29.3
BYU win probability: 69%
Margin (BYU − Iowa State): 7.6 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:15 PM | 7.6 | 51.1 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:20 PM | 7.6 | 51.0 | 69% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:04 PM | 7.6 | 51.0 | 69% |