2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Arizona Stadium
Iowa State @ Arizona
Predicted scoreLean
Iowa State
23.2
Arizona
29.0
Arizona win probability: 64%
Margin (Arizona − Iowa State): 5.8 (80% range -14 to 26)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:42 PM | 5.9 | 52.2 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:48 PM | 5.8 | 52.2 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:40 PM | 5.8 | 52.2 | 64% |